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Ford Surprises Wall Street With 1st Profit in 2 Years, but Warns of Rough Times Ahead

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Old 07-26-07, 03:02 PM
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Post Ford Surprises Wall Street With 1st Profit in 2 Years, but Warns of Rough Times Ahead

Thursday July 26, 4:44 pm ET

DEARBORN, Mich. (AP) -- Ford surprised Wall Street Thursday by posting its first quarterly profit in two years. Then it spoiled the party by warning investors that it still expects big losses in the next two quarters and no return to full-year profitability until 2009.

Ford squeezed most of the gains out through cost cutting, mainly with a roughly 30 percent decline in jobs, and good sales overseas.

Now Ford needs its North American division to start turning a profit. That could be difficult with the company's U.S. rivals and Japanese automakers breathing down its neck.

Still, investors applauded Ford's $750 million second-quarter profit -- also helped by higher net pricing on its vehicles. Ford shares rose on a day when many other companies' shares tumbled.

But even President and Chief Executive Alan Mulally said investors should not think that Ford has turned the corner to consistent profitability.

"These accomplishments are something to be proud of, but we are not ready to declare victory," he said, predicting losses in the second half of the year due to traditionally lower sales volume.

The company also said the sale of its Jaguar and Land Rover subsidiaries was probable, and that its U.S. market share was starting to stabilize, even rising from the first quarter to second quarter.

Ford's profit of 31 cents per share compares with a net loss of 17 cents a share, or $317 million, in the same quarter of last year.

The second-quarter profit surprised 15 Wall Street analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial who expected the company to lose 35 cents per share excluding special items.

The company attributed the gains to significant year-over-year improvement in all of its automotive operations, cost cuts due to restructuring and positive special items that totaled $443 million. That includes a $206 million gain related to the sale of its Aston Martin unit.

Even its struggling North American division showed progress, although it still lost $279 million before taxes.

Ford has shed 27,000 hourly and about 10,000 salaried jobs since September 2006 through early retirement and buyout offers as it tries to shrink itself to match lower demand for its cars and trucks. The company has mortgaged its factories to set up a $23.4 billion credit line to fund the restructuring and cover expected losses.

Even without the positive special items, the company still made money in the quarter, posting a profit of $258 million, or 13 cents per share. On that basis, Ford has a loss of $118 million, or 6 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter.

The timing of the positive quarter might be bad, given that the company just opened critical contract talks with the United Auto Workers and hopes to cut labor costs by around $25 per hour to better compete with Asian rivals.

With the company making money, the UAW may not be as willing to make concessions, although Mulally said that would not be the case.

"I think it's never a bad time to have a good quarter," he said. "Everybody really does understand the situation we're in. We still lost $279 million in North American operations. We have a lot of work to do to get back to profitability."

Ford shares rose 12 cents, or 1.51 percent, to $8.09 Thursday.

Chief Financial Officer Don Leclair said the profitable quarter helped Ford to reduce its estimated cash burn through 2009 from $17 billion to a range of $15 billion to $16 billion.

Ford said it is discussing the possible sale of Jaguar and Land Rover with parties that have expressed interest in the British units. And the company said it is conducting a strategic review of Volvo "that likely will conclude prior to year end."

Mulally also said the probability of selling Jaguar and Land Rover is greater than 50 percent, although he said it would not take place this week.

Dearborn-based Ford reported revenue of $44.2 billion for the quarter, a 5.5 percent gain over the $41.9 billion reported in the year-ago period.

Ford's automotive sector made $378 million for the quarter, versus a pretax loss of $716 million during the second quarter of last year. The loss in its core North American operations narrowed by $510 million from the $789 million lost in the second quarter of last year.

The company reported cost reductions of $600 million for the quarter, or $1.1 billion for the full year, primarily due to health care cost concessions negotiated with the United Auto Workers, the reduced work force and lower warranty repair costs.

It also reported that its U.S. market share rose to 15.6 percent for the quarter from 15.1 percent in the first quarter. The share had been dropping. It was 16.7 percent in the second quarter of 2006.

Ford's Premier Automotive Group, which includes Jaguar, Land Rover and Volvo, reported a pretax profit of $140 million for the quarter, an improvement over the pretax loss of $162 million for the same period in 2006. The company said all brands showed improvement.

Argus Research Corp. senior automotive analyst Kevin Tynan agreed with Mulally that Ford still won't be profitable for a while.

"The $279 million loss in North America is still a problem," Tynan said.

Operating profit from Premier Automotive Group is a good sign, "but essentially all of those brands are on the block and up for sale," Tynan said. "Going forward, you will be eliminating that profit."

Another sign of trouble is Ford Motor Credit's profit still being down significantly from last year's second quarter, he added.

"Ford has driven a lot of the costs out of the system already and it's still not profitable," Tynan said. "The easy costs are already out. Now, if you need more cost reduction, especially in North America, where do you get them?"

The automaker's Asia Pacific and Africa unit made a pretax profit of $26 million, and Ford made $255 million pretax in South America. In Europe, Ford made $262 million, and Ford Motor Credit made $62 million, $242 million less than in the same quarter last year. Ford also received $81 million from its investment in Mazda.
*source
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070726/earns_ford.html?.v=10
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Old 07-26-07, 03:14 PM
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IronCobra
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Ford sold Jaguar and Range Rover? I must have been in a comma or something.
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Old 07-26-07, 04:15 PM
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Originally Posted by IronCobra
Ford sold Jaguar and Range Rover? I must have been in a comma or something.
Not yet. Well, not this week, according to the article.

It's funny that a similar post said it was just sold (to an Indian bus manufacturer, no less... ).
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Old 07-26-07, 07:38 PM
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Mr. Jones
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Mulally is doing really good work.
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