Car Chat General discussion about Lexus, other auto manufacturers and automotive news.

Tesla Model 3....America's next cult-car?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 10-22-19, 05:50 AM
  #46  
Toys4RJill
Lexus Fanatic
 
Toys4RJill's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: ON/NY
Posts: 30,945
Received 64 Likes on 55 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
you didn't respond to the more important point that is that driver did 8+ typical years of driving in a tesla and his battery life dropped a whopping 3%.

and model 's have been out there for what, 7 8 years now and i haven't heard of disastrous degradation. maybe you need more data, but obviously a lot of people are convinced at this point.
Originally Posted by geko29
I would disagree, since the Tesla folks invade every single car thread on this and several other (non-car-related) forums I frequent.

"What's the best reliable daily driver under $5k?" "You should really get a Model 3"

Anti-Tesla folks generally only threadcrap in response to Tesla posts.
There should be a permanent Telsa thread for all things and articles Tesla. IMO.
Toys4RJill is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 05:53 AM
  #47  
Toys4RJill
Lexus Fanatic
 
Toys4RJill's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: ON/NY
Posts: 30,945
Received 64 Likes on 55 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
you're apparently the only one speculating on here. tesla model s has been out over 7 years. no battery issues reported that i've seen. i know people who have had them several years too... no noticeable degradation at all.
I don't believe this is possibly true. Also, Tesla warranties do not cover battery degradation.

Last edited by Toys4RJill; 10-22-19 at 06:07 AM.
Toys4RJill is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 06:12 AM
  #48  
EZZ
Lexus Test Driver
 
EZZ's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: CA
Posts: 7,460
Received 227 Likes on 170 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by LexsCTJill
I don't believe this is possibly true. Also, Tesla warranties do not cover battery degradation.
If your Tesla battery degrades more than 30% within 8 years, its replaced under warranty.
EZZ is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 07:16 AM
  #49  
bitkahuna
Lexus Fanatic
iTrader: (20)
 
bitkahuna's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Present
Posts: 74,682
Received 2,394 Likes on 1,568 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by LexsCTJill
There should be a permanent Telsa thread for all things and articles Tesla. IMO.
you've made this point several times. i don't agree as tesla would STILL enter the conversation in other threads anyway and moderators would then have to decide which posts to move into the all things tesla thread which would be too much work. let's face it, tesla is revolutionary. in my small town, i probably saw 4 driving to an appointment today which is a LOT.

Originally Posted by rogerh00
Cult car? What is it? To me it would be the Chrysler PT Cruiser. Saw thousands of these in the early 2000's. Many clubs formed.
Yesterday I saw a Tesla Model S in person for the first time. Wow, What an eye catcher. It now is on my dream list Too bad it's so pricey.
i just moved your post here as it was in an unrelated thread (presumably accidentally), and quoted here so others see it. thanks.
bitkahuna is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 09:18 AM
  #50  
peteharvey
Lead Lap
 
peteharvey's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Ca
Posts: 4,251
Received 458 Likes on 303 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
you're apparently the only one speculating on here. tesla model s has been out over 7 years. no battery issues reported that i've seen. i know people who have had them several years too... no noticeable degradation at all.
There's the theory - then there's the practical.

Theory
1) Even when they are sitting around doing nothing, all batteries degrade due to side chemical reactions.
2) The faster the supercharging and the greater the frequency of supercharging, the greater the battery degradation.
3) The more fully a battery is fully discharged to 0%, and the more fully it is recharged to 100% - for maximum range - the greater the battery degradation.
In other words, if range is minimized, then battery longevity will be maximized.
4) The smaller the battery pack per vehicle [nee Model 3], the harder the smaller battery pack has to work to keep up with a larger battery pack [nee Model S], then the greater the smaller battery pack's degradation.

Practical
Be patient, wait and see as independent 3rd party data is released.

Presently, it is too early to call.
Never say that Model S has been out 7 years, because the bulk of Model S data [statistically significant sample numbers] is only 2 years old!
The Model S's that have been around for 7 years are too small in sample number, and therefore statistically insignificant.
Focus not on the years, but on adequate sample numbers.

Wait till the smaller Model 3's data with their smaller battery packs are released; smaller batteries must work harder - so you know what to expect.
I haven't seen any Model 3 data released, or you know of some you can post???
peteharvey is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 10:48 AM
  #51  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 56,982
Received 2,723 Likes on 1,950 Posts
Default

Gasoline range DOES reduce as cars age. Fuel economy degrades, thus so does range.

Batteries have two issues, one is their range degrades, and two is the speed at which they charge degrades. MANY examples online and on Youtube of Tesla owners with 200k+ miles and discussing their range loss and recharge speed loss.
SW17LS is online now  
Old 10-22-19, 11:15 AM
  #52  
EZZ
Lexus Test Driver
 
EZZ's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: CA
Posts: 7,460
Received 227 Likes on 170 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by SW17LS
Gasoline range DOES reduce as cars age. Fuel economy degrades, thus so does range.

Batteries have two issues, one is their range degrades, and two is the speed at which they charge degrades. MANY examples online and on Youtube of Tesla owners with 200k+ miles and discussing their range loss and recharge speed loss.
I haven't seen those Teslas lose anywhere near 30%. Most lose 5-10% at most. Sure sample size is small but really, if you have the entire sample size saying the same thing, its usually a good predictor of the larger sample size to come. No way i'm keeping this car past 8 years though. By that time, EVs will have double the range and do 0-60 in 2 seconds
EZZ is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 11:22 AM
  #53  
SW17LS
Lexus Fanatic
 
SW17LS's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Maryland
Posts: 56,982
Received 2,723 Likes on 1,950 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by EZZ
I haven't seen those Teslas lose anywhere near 30%. Most lose 5-10% at most. Sure sample size is small but really, if you have the entire sample size saying the same thing, its usually a good predictor of the larger sample size to come. No way i'm keeping this car past 8 years though. By that time, EVs will have double the range and do 0-60 in 2 seconds
Thats been what ive seen too, nowhere near 30%
SW17LS is online now  
Old 10-22-19, 12:06 PM
  #54  
Hayek
Driver
 
Hayek's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: Vienna, Austria (j/k, Rio, Brazil)
Posts: 108
Received 4 Likes on 3 Posts
Default

Wow... the spin machine is at full steam for this car. It's like Elon Musk's life depend on its success or he will wake-up all bloodied and tied-up in the trunk of a Cadillac driven by upstanding Chinese men on the way to a slaughterhouse.
Hayek is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 01:24 PM
  #55  
peteharvey
Lead Lap
 
peteharvey's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Ca
Posts: 4,251
Received 458 Likes on 303 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by EZZ
I haven't seen those Teslas lose anywhere near 30%. Most lose 5-10% at most. Sure sample size is small but really, if you have the entire sample size saying the same thing, its usually a good predictor of the larger sample size to come.
(moderator edited)

How do you know if battery degradation follows an inverse curve, or a negative sigmoidal curve with a reverse bend?
In fact, most batteries degrade with a negative sigmoidal curve with a reverse bend - that signifies a rapid fall after a certain point.
Maybe Tesla has come with a miracle lithium ion that has a simple inverse curve battery degradation similar to motor vehicle depreciation?
And what about waiting a few years for initial Model 3 data to be released, because its smaller battery pack must work much harder than Model S?

(moderator: graphs and giant photo of greta thunberg deleted)

Last edited by bitkahuna; 10-22-19 at 01:54 PM.
peteharvey is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 01:55 PM
  #56  
bitkahuna
Lexus Fanatic
iTrader: (20)
 
bitkahuna's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Present
Posts: 74,682
Received 2,394 Likes on 1,568 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by peteharvey
... And what about waiting a few years for initial Model 3 data to be released, because its smaller battery pack must work much harder than Model S?
good idea, why don't you wait for a few years until the data you want is available so your graphing ability have data to use. until then, give it a rest.
bitkahuna is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 01:59 PM
  #57  
plex
1UZFE/2JZGTE
iTrader: (11)
 
plex's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: MD
Posts: 13,273
Received 75 Likes on 58 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Hayek
Wow... the spin machine is at full steam for this car. It's like Elon Musk's life depend on its success or he will wake-up all bloodied and tied-up in the trunk of a Cadillac driven by upstanding Chinese men on the way to a slaughterhouse.
Lol, interesting details of the Musk kidnapping and subsequent torture and/or execution.
plex is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 02:02 PM
  #58  
peteharvey
Lead Lap
 
peteharvey's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Ca
Posts: 4,251
Received 458 Likes on 303 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by bitkahuna
good idea, why don't you wait for a few years until the data you want is available so your graphing ability have data to use. until then, give it a rest.
That is exactly what I said in Post #50.
In theory we know batteries must degrade.
The practical will tell us how soon and by how much...

https://www.clublexus.com/forums/car...l#post10641424
peteharvey is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 02:43 PM
  #59  
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Thread Starter
 
mmarshall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Posts: 91,101
Received 87 Likes on 86 Posts
Default

Are we talking about a cult-car or a cult-battery in this thread?
mmarshall is offline  
Old 10-22-19, 02:46 PM
  #60  
plex
1UZFE/2JZGTE
iTrader: (11)
 
plex's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: MD
Posts: 13,273
Received 75 Likes on 58 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
Are we talking about a cult-car or a cult-battery in this thread?
Since the battery is a critical part of the cult car then yes even the screen is now a cult-screen.
plex is offline  


Quick Reply: Tesla Model 3....America's next cult-car?



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 08:31 PM.