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Please Help With Car Buying Decision - Used 2017 or New 2021 Lexus???

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Old 10-23-20, 07:32 AM
  #151  
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Adding to what's already been said, keep in mind that the pandemic has affected inventory levels, which in turn affects selling prices. Dealers might be more likely to hold firm at higher prices because they have a limited stock. If they don't have cars to sell, they don't make any money, so they may try to squeeze every bit out of every sale. I wouldn't be surprised if they let people walk over $500, let alone $2000.

Good luck either way.
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Old 10-23-20, 07:34 AM
  #152  
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They let me walk over a free wheel protection program on a 2016 ES350, and this was at the height of the pandemic when they were still only open by appointment. That salesman has sold me 4 cars too.

They know someone will buy it, and there may not be another car coming they can sell for more. They're not as interested in volume as they were.

As everybody knows I've been shopping for S560s and 750s, cars that DO sit on lots a long time and have niche buyers. I have had dozens of dealers let me walk when we were not that far apart. Some of those cars are still on lots, those dealers haven't called me.

The idea that car dealers will never let you walk just isn't true, especially now. Inventory shortages are very real. I drive by our local Carmax, the lot is half full, its normally always full. New cars too.

Last edited by SW17LS; 10-23-20 at 07:41 AM.
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Old 10-23-20, 07:44 AM
  #153  
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I've been watching a CPO 2017 Lexus IS F Sport with Navigation and 15K Miles for a while. Lexus "Plus" Dealer started at about $30,000 over a month ago. They've dropped $500 a week for the last 5 weeks and are now at $27,500. Before their price cuts, they told me they don't haggle. I said that's fine and walked. They keep calling me to "come in an do a deal". I don't respond but I think why bother when you're not willing to negotiate? I'm fine with sitting back and letting their oxygen run out. The market will price it accordingly eventually - and it won't be for what they're asking. Let them send it to auction and see what they'll get. These cars are depreciating and tying up their cash while they sit on their lot unsold.
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Old 10-23-20, 07:54 AM
  #154  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
I've been watching a CPO 2017 Lexus IS F Sport with Navigation and 15K Miles for a while. Lexus "Plus" Dealer started at about $30,000 over a month ago. They've dropped $500 a week for the last 5 weeks and are now at $27,500. Before their price cuts, they told me they don't haggle. I said that's fine and walked. They keep calling me to "come in an do a deal". I don't respond but I think why bother when you're not willing to negotiate? I'm fine with sitting back and letting their oxygen run out. The market will price it accordingly eventually - and it won't be for what they're asking. Let them send it to auction and see what they'll get. These cars are depreciating and tying up their cash while they sit on their lot unsold.
They will not negotiate with you. If you have a certain price in mind, you just have to sit there and wait for it to be reduced down to that price and then go in and buy it and hope someone else doesn't buy it first. It will sell for what they're asking, what they're asking at the time that it sells will just be less than it is now. If it doesn't sell, they will send it to auction. They will not sell the car for less than its advertised price at any given time.

It seems ridiculous, especially when they keep reducing it but that's how they operate. You could offer them $500 less and they let you walk and then a week later they reduce it $500. They just start at a price and systematically reduce it until they get somebody to bite.

Lexus Plus dealers will not negotiate with you, you're basically just negotiating with yourself. Their cars are often overpriced too.
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Old 10-23-20, 07:57 AM
  #155  
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Yes and that's why my plan is to just sit back and let market forces do the work.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:01 AM
  #156  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
Yes and that's why my plan is to just sit back and let market forces do the work. I'm not going to waste my time and their time going back to the dealer.
Thats all you can do. But realize, you're not negotiating...you're just waiting for them to reduce the price. Whether or not they reduce it depends on a lot of different factors, the inventory they have coming in, etc. They may get to a certain price and then stop there and let it sit there for a while.

Whats even more frustrating is most dealers adopt this policy for pre owned cars even if they don't for new cars.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:04 AM
  #157  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
Yes and that's why my plan is to just sit back and let market forces do the work.
Hopefully nobody buys it before you do.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:09 AM
  #158  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
I've been watching a CPO 2017 Lexus IS F Sport with Navigation and 15K Miles for a while. Lexus "Plus" Dealer started at about $30,000 over a month ago. They've dropped $500 a week for the last 5 weeks and are now at $27,500. Before their price cuts, they told me they don't haggle. I said that's fine and walked. They keep calling me to "come in an do a deal". I don't respond but I think why bother when you're not willing to negotiate? I'm fine with sitting back and letting their oxygen run out. The market will price it accordingly eventually - and it won't be for what they're asking. Let them send it to auction and see what they'll get. These cars are depreciating and tying up their cash while they sit on their lot unsold.
I think they might just send the car to Manheim.... Just checked the MMR - stupid high! There are only 154 2017 IS’s available at the auction throughout the entire US, and depending on mileage they sell for anywhere between $28-$32k.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:15 AM
  #159  
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Originally Posted by stasek
I think they might just send the car to Manheim.... Just checked the MMR - stupid high! There are only 154 2017 IS’s available at the auction throughout the entire US, and depending on mileage they sell for anywhere between $28-$32k.
In light of that, $27,500 for this one sounds like a pretty good buy.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:17 AM
  #160  
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My target is $24,000 for the 2017 and they give me $4,000 for my trade-in. So I'll give them $20,000 lump sum cash plus my trade-in. Their current offer is $27,500 minus $2,000 for my trade-in. So we are about $6,000 apart.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:23 AM
  #161  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
My target is $24,000 for the 2017 and they give me $4,000 for my trade-in. So I'll give them $20,000 lump sum cash plus my trade-in. Their current offer is $27,500 minus $2,000 for my trade-in. So we are about $6,000 apart.
Haha

Again I ask, how did you arrive at that number?

Your numbers have to make sense, come from some basis in data. If the MMR is showing auction values of $28-32k how have you come to the conclusion that your desire to pay $4-6k less retail than the confirmed wholesale value makes any sense?

Then there's the trade, $2k is probably about what its worth, so you want $2k over value on the trade so really you want to pay retail $6-8k less than what they could get for the car wholesale. That IS is not going to get down to that value, the dealer has access to the MMR data which was generously shared with you above. They likely paid more than that for the car. I just don't see how you have any rationale to back up your number beyond "thats what I want to pay"

Gonna be driving that ES330 for a while my friend lol
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Old 10-23-20, 08:25 AM
  #162  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
My target is $24,000 for the 2017 and they give me $4,000 for my trade-in. So I'll give them $20,000 lump sum cash plus my trade-in. Their current offer is $27,500 minus $2,000 for my trade-in. So we are about $6,000 apart.
Considering how hot the used car market is, I don’t see that happening for a foreseeable future.
I’m starting to look (again) for a car for myself, and the more I look at the used ones (1-3 year old ones), the more it looks like a new one is a better buy.
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Old 10-23-20, 08:29 AM
  #163  
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Originally Posted by stasek
Considering how hot the used car market is, I don’t see that happening for a foreseeable future.
I’m starting to look (again) for a car for myself, and the more I look at the used ones (1-3 year old ones), the more it looks like a new one is a better buy.
Just out of curiosity, can you look up the MMR for his trade? Its a 2004 ES330 with 160k miles. KBB is $1,400-2,700
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Old 10-23-20, 08:43 AM
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Originally Posted by SW17LS
Just out of curiosity, can you look up the MMR for his trade? Its a 2004 ES330 with 160k miles. KBB is $1,400-2,700

Looks like depending on condition (and with similar mileage), $2-$3k is all the money these cars command at the auction.

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Old 10-23-20, 08:47 AM
  #165  
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Makes sense. They offered him $2k and are planning on auctioning it. Not gonna get $4k.
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