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Please Help With Car Buying Decision - Used 2017 or New 2021 Lexus???

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Old 10-23-20, 09:07 AM
  #166  
sm1ke
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Originally Posted by Gekko
My target is $24,000 for the 2017 and they give me $4,000 for my trade-in. So I'll give them $20,000 lump sum cash plus my trade-in. Their current offer is $27,500 minus $2,000 for my trade-in. So we are about $6,000 apart.

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Old 10-23-20, 09:12 AM
  #167  
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I come across this all the time, people who think they are in a negotiating position they aren't, and no amount of data will prove to them that their expectations are not realistic. Usually it takes many many times losing out on things they want to finally beat into their head that they aren't right.

"How did you arrive at that number?" is a powerful question because they have no response, because there is no rationale to it and it lays them bare.

I have a colleague that had tried to help a guy buy a house for 2 years and got to the point where he really just couldnt deal with constantly telling him what he needed to do to win and him never listening and constantly losing, so he referred him to me about 6 weeks ago. He closed on his new house last week. I didnt do anything magical, it just took losing 15 houses and 2 years of spending every weekend looking at houses just to be completely blown out of the water every offer and then being fired by his agent and me being able to say look, you do what I tell you to do or I'm going to fire you too and he finally did whatever we told him to do...and he won. He only paid $100,000 more than he would have 2 years ago for the same house, but he did get a much better rate, so I suppose its kinda a wash...that 2 years of looking and stress though, you don't get that back.

Typically it actually goes back to people not actually being ready to make a purchase and aren't serious, so they set criteria up for themselves that deep down they know aren't realistic and say "if I can get this deal I'll do it" knowing thats really unlikely. The difference between me and my colleague is I wouldn't have done that 15 times. Two offers you don't listen to me, you're fired.

Point is, the data shows $27,500 for the new to you IS and $2k trade for the old ES is a good deal, buy it and move on. Makes no sense to continue to drag it out looking for a deal that data shows is extremely unlikely or impossible to achieve.

Last edited by SW17LS; 10-23-20 at 09:33 AM.
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Old 10-23-20, 09:36 AM
  #168  
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So a couple of observations.
-The used market price spike has reached its max about the end of Sep. Recent trends suggest its normalizing and some dealers are left holding the bag. Region specific of our course.
-Sending it to auction depends on how much they've sunk into it, and how much they need to spend on auction costs. Presently guesstimating their $500 below so there is maybe (huge maybe) another 500-1k in it before its time for the auction.

couple of suggestions:
-if your interested in pure numbers game, where your time is not a huge cost for you and have a second car, research selling your current ES private party or carvanamax etc to reign in the highest possible value before values normalize.
-Then when used car values do normalize jump in for another car.

While I understand your in the market for an IS, I`d take a look at some of the remaining 2020 ESes, they seem to have heavy discounts for lack of demand. 2021 IS is going to be MSRP for a bit.

Last edited by coolsaber; 10-23-20 at 04:30 PM.
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Old 10-23-20, 09:41 AM
  #169  
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Originally Posted by coolsaber
-if your interested in pure numbers game, where your time is not a huge cost for you and have a second car, research selling your current ES private party or carvanamax etc to reign in the highest possible value before values normalize.
The issue is its so old that Carvana and Carmax etc aren't going to sell it, they're going to send it to auction so they'll give you $500-$1,000 less than the MMR and then sell it at auction and make some quick bucks. If the MMR is $2,200, you're not going to get more than the $2,000 he's been offered from them.

Carmax is great and they will overpay because they can overcharge. They also have a nationwide network so they can sell it where its most profitable and aren't tied to one area like another dealer. BUT, in order for that to work it has to be a car they will sell, they won't sell a car that old and high mileage,
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Old 10-23-20, 09:46 AM
  #170  
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Originally Posted by SW17LS
The issue is its so old that Carvana and Carmax etc aren't going to sell it, they're going to send it to auction so they'll give you $500-$1,000 less than the MMR and then sell it at auction and make some quick bucks. If the MMR is $2,200, you're not going to get more than the $2,000 he's been offered from them.

Carmax is great and they will overpay because they can overcharge. They also have a nationwide network so they can sell it where its most profitable and aren't tied to one area like another dealer. BUT, in order for that to work it has to be a car they will sell, they won't sell a car that old and high mileage,
While that maybe the case, the OP needs to do his or her research on the options available regardless. As they say you miss 100% of the shots you dont take.
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Old 10-23-20, 10:23 AM
  #171  
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Originally Posted by coolsaber
While that maybe the case, the OP needs to do his or her research on the options available regardless. As they say you miss 100% of the shots you dont take.
I’d get quotes for sure, get quotes from everywhere there is to get a quote.
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Old 10-23-20, 12:29 PM
  #172  
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Update - The Dealer just lowered the price again today another $500 to slightly under $27,000. My instincts are usually right. I didn't get rich by being stupid.
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Old 10-23-20, 12:32 PM
  #173  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
Update - The Dealer just lowered the price again today another $500 to slightly under $27,000. My instincts are usually right.. I didn't get rich by being stupid.
It only has to come down 10 times that to get to the number you want.

FYI, I’m rich too lol
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Old 10-23-20, 12:34 PM
  #174  
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Originally Posted by SW17LS
That doesn’t mean it’s going to get to $24,000 and they’ll give you $2k more than wholesale on your trade.

FYI, I’m rich too lol
The starting price was $30,000 just a few weeks ago. I like my strategy.
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Old 10-23-20, 12:36 PM
  #175  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
The starting price was $30,000 just a few weeks ago. I like my strategy.
And that number was high. Like we’ve all said before, look at the data. Your numbers just aren’t realistic.
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Old 10-23-20, 12:39 PM
  #176  
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Originally Posted by Gekko
Update - The Dealer just lowered the price again today another $500 to slightly under $27,000. My instincts are usually right. I didn't get rich by being stupid.
$26500 with a $2000 trade...I would pull the trigger...that makes it $24500
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Old 10-23-20, 12:47 PM
  #177  
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Absolutely, that’s a good deal.
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Old 10-23-20, 04:30 PM
  #178  
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Hey if it works it works in this kangaroo market.

Keep us posted!
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Old 10-23-20, 04:54 PM
  #179  
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Is it the lowest priced ‘17 CPO in your area? Just remember - all it takes is one buyer out there...:
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Old 10-23-20, 05:10 PM
  #180  
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Originally Posted by stasek
Is it the lowest priced ‘17 CPO in your area? Just remember - all it takes is one buyer out there...:
Haha unleashing the inner salesmen I see lol
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