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Lower vehicle prices may (?) require life-style changes from consumers.

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Old 12-14-21 | 07:21 PM
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Originally Posted by LexsCTJill
I just looked up the LS lease price. Holy cow $2300 for the LSh
Yeah, madness!

Originally Posted by mmarshall
Yes, that would explain a good part of it. Surgeons and lawyers both tend to earn way more than average. I remember the beautiful lakeside house my late-Uncle, a cancer-surgeon, had in the Ohio Snow-Belt. The steep driveway, which would be hopeless in many conditions, had a built-in pavement-heater....when the system worked properly, just flick a switch and Presto, snow and ice becomes wet pavement. Just the same, though, he had a FWD Olds Toronado (he was a GM fan, like me) and his wife, a nurse, had a 4WD Jeep Wagoneer.
LOTS of people here who have those kinds of incomes though is the point.
Old 12-15-21 | 09:25 AM
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An $800k house around here is a fixer upper. (not exaggerating) It's just what it costs these days.

Here's an example. Anyone here want to pay $900k for this place?

https://www.redfin.com/WA/Edmonds/23...0/home/2762379

It's a strange time in that cars are not so dissimilar from real estate. Two of my three cars are now worth more than I bought them for, and the third (the GS) is very close. So I can cash in on any one of them, but then I have to deal with the prices to buy something new. Same thing with our house. I'd make bank selling it right now - a good $400-500k more than I paid for it just four years ago. But then I switch to the other side of the home buying experience, and fighting and outbidding others to spend that kind of money doesn't appeal to me right now.

Old 12-15-21 | 09:49 AM
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'
Originally Posted by SW17LS
Yep! I sold a house for an elderly couple a few years ago, they paid $19,000 for it and we sold it for $800,000.
after inflation, they probably didn't make much. but one's own home is a good hedge anyway.

Originally Posted by mmarshall
Were you in an upmarket card shop like Hallmark's? Might be time to head to Walmart or Target, where you can probably find cards at half the price. Even some supermarkets have a card section now...particularly for the holiday season.
and wait half an hour in line too... time is money too.

Originally Posted by mmarshall
I suspect, though, that some are retiring even if they can't afford to.
how does on do that without become destitute sooner or later? or do you mean retire from one job but take another anyway? that's not really retiring then.

Originally Posted by mmarshall
As far as a good job, even if I was a Bank President or corporate CEO, I can think of a lot of things I'd rather have in life than mortgage-debt of over a half-million dollars, even if one didn't have to mortgage the entire amount (which a lot of lenders might not agree to in the first place).
bank presidents and CEOs have one or several houses worth millions. some have mortgages for various reasons, others don't. respectfully, you can't compare everyone's lifestyle to your retirement / paid-for condo bubble.

Originally Posted by JDR76
An $800k house around here is a fixer upper. (not exaggerating) It's just what it costs these days.
not surprised. you live in a tech mecca and that's n. of seattle and close to the water.

It's a strange time in that cars are not so dissimilar from real estate. Two of my three cars are now worth more than I bought them for, and the third (the GS) is very close. So I can cash in on any one of them, but then I have to deal with the prices to buy something new. Same thing with our house. I'd make bank selling it right now - a good $400-500k more than I paid for it just four years ago. But then I switch to the other side of the home buying experience, and fighting and outbidding others to spend that kind of money doesn't appeal to me right now.
and that's the illusion of rising prices... unless you're just cashing out and not buying something else, those 'gains' just get consumed by the next purchase not to mention commissions, fees, taxes, repairs, etc.
Old 12-15-21 | 09:55 AM
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oh about that house listing, i see it shows 2.5% buying brokerage commission which on $900K is $22,500. and that doesn't include the selling brokerage commission. so if that's the same, that's means $45K gets eaten in the 'cycle', so if there's churn in the market, local prices there HAVE to go up $50K each time just to break even.
Old 12-15-21 | 02:38 PM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
oh about that house listing, i see it shows 2.5% buying brokerage commission which on $900K is $22,500. and that doesn't include the selling brokerage commission. so if that's the same, that's means $45K gets eaten in the 'cycle', so if there's churn in the market, local prices there HAVE to go up $50K each time just to break even.
Can always sell it yourself and see how successful you are
Old 12-15-21 | 06:53 PM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
'how does on do that without become destitute sooner or later? or do you mean retire from one job but take another anyway? that's not really retiring then.
Retirement MEANS retirement. Otherwise, as you note, it is simply giving up one job for another...or two jobs for one job.



bank presidents and CEOs have one or several houses worth millions.
I don't think you can label them all that way. Depends on what their personal philosophy of life is. Some of the wealthiest people on earth, for example, drive Accords and Camrys....and not always new ones.













Old 12-16-21 | 09:53 AM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall
Retirement MEANS retirement. Otherwise, as you note, it is simply giving up one job for another...or two jobs for one job.
Your thinking is out of date. Many people who retire from their careers continue to work in one capacity or another. When my dad retired for instance, he continued to consult with his company on key accounts and did some investing and day trading. My aunt is retiring at the end of this year and she does Rover and watches dogs etc, she's going to continue to do that. I have many clients who retire and own multiple investment properties and take over the management and their "retirement job" is managing their rental properties.

These people who are "retiring" early because of COVID aren't ceasing income producing work, and since they aren't they can retire earlier than they would have been able to when they needed to live with NO earned income.

I don't see myself ever retiring completely and not working in some capacity.
Old 12-16-21 | 11:05 AM
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Originally Posted by mmarshall
Retirement MEANS retirement. Otherwise, as you note, it is simply giving up one job for another...or two jobs for one job.
you're only seeing it in terms of your own situation.

I don't think you can label them all that way. Depends on what their personal philosophy of life is. Some of the wealthiest people on earth, for example, drive Accords and Camrys....and not always new ones.
i'd like to see some examples of the last sentence, but anyway, sure i know a bank manager who lives very modestly, but he's a single guy who would rather be out on his boat or hunting than in a big house (he has a tiny house). drives a nice new f150 or f250 though and thinking of getting an lc500 now he's seen mine.
Old 12-16-21 | 12:55 PM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
i'd like to see some examples of the last sentence, but anyway, sure i know a bank manager who lives very modestly, but he's a single guy who would rather be out on his boat or hunting than in a big house (he has a tiny house). drives a nice new f150 or f250 though and thinking of getting an lc500 now he's seen mine.
My uncle and aunt retired early, and their income is very modest, but they moved to a cabin in the Poconos, and they don't want to have anything to do with any of the work stress. All they do is relax, drink, and go fishing on their little boat. They have no regrets.
Old 12-16-21 | 01:00 PM
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When I retired I had a couple of ideas of what I might like to do. As the months and years went by I decided that it wasn't a bad way of life so I just stayed retired and have really enjoyed it.
Old 12-16-21 | 01:19 PM
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Originally Posted by LexBob2
When I retired I had a couple of ideas of what I might like to do. As the months and years went by I decided that it wasn't a bad way of life so I just stayed retired and have really enjoyed it.
I'm 43 so its way early for me technically to even think about retirement, but sometimes I question if this hectic life is worth it. I could sell my assets, move to southern Ukraine or another nice eastern European country, do some remote consulting and live stress free.
Old 12-16-21 | 04:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Och
I'm 43 so its way early for me technically to even think about retirement, but sometimes I question if this hectic life is worth it. I could sell my assets, move to southern Ukraine or another nice eastern European country, do some remote consulting and live stress free.
I've found from friends and former co-workers you need to be not only financially but mentally ready to retire comfortably.
Old 12-16-21 | 04:41 PM
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Originally Posted by bitkahuna
you're only seeing it in terms of your own situation.
My own situation (or yours) is not unique by any means.



i'd like to see some examples of the last sentence,
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/09/21/why-...heap-cars.html


Old 12-18-21 | 07:05 AM
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Originally Posted by Och
I'm 43 so its way early for me technically to even think about retirement, but sometimes I question if this hectic life is worth it. I could sell my assets, move to southern Ukraine or another nice eastern European country, do some remote consulting and live stress free.
A lot of people are questioning the same things, and people are making real choices to stop working in the same way and live a very modest lifestyle.

I Had dinner last night with one of my oldest friends who works for me now, he's 64, no wife or kids, he's always done pretty well but never made huge income year over year, $150k or so. He's got about $1.5M in total assets, which is far less than he ever anticipated being enough for him to completely stop working, but he's thinking about cashing in, moving somewhere overseas that is beautiful and inexpensive and living a simple life on what he has. Something that before COVID he never would have considered.
Old 12-18-21 | 09:25 AM
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Originally Posted by SW17LS
A lot of people are questioning the same things, and people are making real choices to stop working in the same way and live a very modest lifestyle.

I Had dinner last night with one of my oldest friends who works for me now, he's 64, no wife or kids, he's always done pretty well but never made huge income year over year, $150k or so. He's got about $1.5M in total assets, which is far less than he ever anticipated being enough for him to completely stop working, but he's thinking about cashing in, moving somewhere overseas that is beautiful and inexpensive and living a simple life on what he has. Something that before COVID he never would have considered.

I agree with much of this.....The pursuit of more and more material things, just for material's sake, or trying to Keep up with the Jones, is the cause of many human ills.




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