EV Chat General discussion about electrified Lexus, other EV vehicle manufacturers and BEV, PHEV related industry news.

Is the EV Market Waning?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 04-28-24, 05:28 PM
  #1  
mmarshall
Lexus Fanatic
Thread Starter
 
mmarshall's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Virginia/D.C. suburbs
Posts: 91,443
Received 88 Likes on 87 Posts
Question Is the EV Market Waning?

A good video showing why the EV market may have passed its peak, and could be waning, at least in the short term.

mmarshall is offline  
The following users liked this post:
Trexus (04-29-24)
Old 04-28-24, 06:14 PM
  #2  
BayeauxLex
Instructor
 
BayeauxLex's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2020
Posts: 1,216
Received 196 Likes on 167 Posts
Default

🍿👀

This is about to be good. In 3..2..1…
BayeauxLex is offline  
Old 04-28-24, 08:35 PM
  #3  
FrankReynoldsCPA
Lexus Test Driver
 
FrankReynoldsCPA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Las Vegas
Posts: 7,065
Received 96 Likes on 68 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by BayeauxLex
🍿👀

This is about to be good. In 3..2..1…
We really like breaking new ground here in EV chat, don't we?
FrankReynoldsCPA is online now  
The following users liked this post:
BayeauxLex (04-28-24)
Old 04-28-24, 09:17 PM
  #4  
703
Lead Lap
 
703's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 3,836
Received 793 Likes on 538 Posts
Default

And all the usual suspects in this forum:


703 is offline  
The following users liked this post:
BayeauxLex (04-28-24)
Old 04-29-24, 06:40 PM
  #5  
asj2024
Advanced
 
asj2024's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2024
Location: NJ/FL
Posts: 555
Received 118 Likes on 72 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by mmarshall
A good video showing why the EV market may have passed its peak, and could be waning, at least in the short term.

https://youtu.be/SPkTANRG_iw
Yep, at least in the short term, there is a significant slowdown in BEV growth, and an acceleration in hybrid growth.

It's been discussed before as well, so not exactly new news.

The question is whether people will start buying BEVs now that prices have dropped like a rock, or are there some portion of the population that will never even consider it. The price drops last year did not help much, so we'll have to see.

Last edited by asj2024; 04-29-24 at 06:44 PM.
asj2024 is offline  
Old 04-30-24, 07:05 PM
  #6  
JeffKeryk
Racer
 
JeffKeryk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: CA
Posts: 1,962
Received 556 Likes on 375 Posts
Default

Ever heard of business cycles?
JeffKeryk is offline  
Old 05-01-24, 02:22 PM
  #7  
Bob04
Lead Lap
 
Bob04's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: SC
Posts: 3,666
Received 271 Likes on 195 Posts
Default

High mortgage rates and inflation haven't helped either. Cuts into the new car fund.
Bob04 is offline  
Old 05-01-24, 03:24 PM
  #8  
AJT123
Lexus Champion
 
AJT123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Knoxville, TN
Posts: 12,738
Received 234 Likes on 196 Posts
Default

Yes. This is just the beginning of a huge backfire, get your popcorn.

Hardly any MB EVs on the lot when I used to post them stacked.... I saw maybe 3 or 4?
AJT123 is online now  
The following users liked this post:
LexTess (05-02-24)
Old 05-01-24, 05:31 PM
  #9  
G30540i
Driver
 
G30540i's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2024
Posts: 50
Received 39 Likes on 16 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by AJT123
Yes. This is just the beginning of a huge backfire, get your popcorn.

Hardly any MB EVs on the lot when I used to post them stacked.... I saw maybe 3 or 4?
MB had to have lost millions and millions on the EQx line. The leases they were offering were crazy cheap on six figure EVs. That's $15,000+ in incentives or more
G30540i is offline  
Old 05-01-24, 07:01 PM
  #10  
AJT123
Lexus Champion
 
AJT123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Knoxville, TN
Posts: 12,738
Received 234 Likes on 196 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by G30540i
MB had to have lost millions and millions on the EQx line. The leases they were offering were crazy cheap on six figure EVs. That's $15,000+ in incentives or more
I hear you can buy a year old one for $55,000. They're about 100k new. Massive fail.

And yes, when my MB dealer did stock EVs they all had massive "$12,500" off discount stickers on each and every single one.
AJT123 is online now  
Old 05-02-24, 07:35 AM
  #11  
Bob04
Lead Lap
 
Bob04's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: SC
Posts: 3,666
Received 271 Likes on 195 Posts
Default

Lots of used EVs on the market now too. Didn't used to the be case. And the used EVs in the market were expensive due to lack of supply. Didn't make sense to buy used when new was only a little more expensive. Now, after flooding the market with new EVs for several years, many have the chance to purchases used. That would be ok if the "new EV sales are going grow exponentially" crowd was correct and everyone was still demanding EVs. But that doesn't seem to be the case. Appears the market is limited like the Toyota CEO suggested, and the new market is under pressure from cheaper competition from the used market. The market always wins. Eventually.
Bob04 is offline  
Old 05-02-24, 06:28 PM
  #12  
spwolf
Lexus Champion
 
spwolf's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 19,927
Received 161 Likes on 119 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by Bob04
Lots of used EVs on the market now too. Didn't used to the be case. And the used EVs in the market were expensive due to lack of supply. Didn't make sense to buy used when new was only a little more expensive. Now, after flooding the market with new EVs for several years, many have the chance to purchases used. That would be ok if the "new EV sales are going grow exponentially" crowd was correct and everyone was still demanding EVs. But that doesn't seem to be the case. Appears the market is limited like the Toyota CEO suggested, and the new market is under pressure from cheaper competition from the used market. The market always wins. Eventually.
If limited market means that BEV sales are to reach 20% globally this year, yes it is limited.
spwolf is offline  
Old 05-02-24, 06:57 PM
  #13  
LeX2K
Lexus Fanatic
 
LeX2K's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Location: Alberta
Posts: 20,615
Received 3,053 Likes on 2,565 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by spwolf
If limited market means that BEV sales are to reach 20% globally this year, yes it is limited.
20% is about right.

LeX2K is offline  
Old 05-03-24, 07:11 AM
  #14  
AJT123
Lexus Champion
 
AJT123's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: Knoxville, TN
Posts: 12,738
Received 234 Likes on 196 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by LeX2K
20% is about right.

That's global, not USA.

20% of all cars being EV is a pipe dream here in America.
AJT123 is online now  
Old 05-03-24, 08:14 AM
  #15  
geko29
Super Moderator
Senior Moderator
 
geko29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: IL
Posts: 8,036
Received 309 Likes on 237 Posts
Default

Originally Posted by AJT123
That's global, not USA.

20% of all cars being EV is a pipe dream here in America.
The US is indeed a few years behind. This is likely the year that US sales of all vehicle types with a battery and motor (BEV, PHEV, and HEV) hit 20%, as that group accounted for 16.3% of light vehicle sales in 2023, up from 12.9% in 2022.

Hitting that 20% threshold with just BEVs and PHEVs will take a few more years, as they accounted for about 10% of sales in 2023, up from about 7% in 2022.
geko29 is online now  


Quick Reply: Is the EV Market Waning?



All times are GMT -7. The time now is 02:54 PM.