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Theory of a lease?

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Old 04-15-09, 12:59 PM
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DDLexus
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Question Theory of a lease?

GX owners/lessees,
I'm looking for a used GX and found that a 3-4yo GX with low miles sells for about $30-$35k. When comparing it to a new GX from Lexus, I learned that a 3 yr lease is about $36k ($950/mo over 36mo plus some other fees). Therefore, after 3yrs, the car has been paid down to about $20k (based upon a $56k new price). How can Lexus get away with such a high price for the lease AND/OR used prices sell for $10k over the amt of money remaining to payoff the car outright?

Does this logic make any sense? See additional notes below...
New car price: $56,000
Monthly Lease: $950/mo for 36mo
Total lease payments and fees after 36mo: $36,000
amt $ due to pay off Car's orig MSRP after 36mo: $20,000

Retail Sales price for low miles 3 year old GX: $32,000
Profit after lease: $12,000

How can the public be abused this bad by Lexus?

Last edited by DDLexus; 04-16-09 at 07:41 AM. Reason: fixed the useage of residual term
Old 04-15-09, 01:30 PM
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cssnms
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You kind of answered your own question. It makes sense if you are the dealer. This is why leases are more profitable for dealers/banks then selling a car, which is also why you should always negotiate a lease.
Old 04-15-09, 01:38 PM
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BurgBoxstr
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Your #s are off b/c you are forgetting the finance charges associated w/ leasing and with holding their $ during the term of the lease. For instance, would lend someone your car (say worth $30K now) plus $26K in cash for 36 months w/o charging them interest only to get the beat up car and $26K back after 3 years? If so, I'll be right over

Essentially when you lease, you are paying for the depreciation, wear and tear and a 'rental/usage' fee for the vehicle for X period of time. Plus you are paying a finance charge for holding the residual value of the vehicle for that same time frame. To simplify it though for consumers, it's all rolled up into one #, the MF (money factor) plus the residual value.

In short though, unless you can write off the cost of leasing for business purposes, it really makes little financial sense to lease vehicles personally. Of course there are exceptions such as extremely high residual values or an exceptionally low MF, etc., but in a nutshell.....
Old 04-15-09, 02:10 PM
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snhrph
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Originally Posted by BurgBoxstr
Your #s are off b/c you are forgetting the finance charges associated w/ leasing and with holding their $ during the term of the lease. For instance, would lend someone your car (say worth $30K now) plus $26K in cash for 36 months w/o charging them interest only to get the beat up car and $26K back after 3 years? If so, I'll be right over

Essentially when you lease, you are paying for the depreciation, wear and tear and a 'rental/usage' fee for the vehicle for X period of time. Plus you are paying a finance charge for holding the residual value of the vehicle for that same time frame. To simplify it though for consumers, it's all rolled up into one #, the MF (money factor) plus the residual value.

In short though, unless you can write off the cost of leasing for business purposes, it really makes little financial sense to lease vehicles personally. Of course there are exceptions such as extremely high residual values or an exceptionally low MF, etc., but in a nutshell.....
I agree. That, and the fact that you get a brand new vehicle every 2 to 3 years. Some people might like that
Also helps you avoid the hassles of the long-term ownership: "babying" the car, stressing over the the maintenance schedule, etc...
Old 04-15-09, 06:55 PM
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kalvano
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That residual is off.

That's a stupid low residual, unless the miles are way up there.
Old 04-15-09, 07:35 PM
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JimsGX
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How many miles per year? What's the money factor on the lease? Is this through LFS or a different lender? What's the actual purchase price that you negotiated? Does the transaction involve a trade? How much $ down if any?

The quote looks high to me on the surface. I agree with the other post that the residual is very low if your looking at a 15k mile per year lease.
Old 04-16-09, 06:29 AM
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DDLexus
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Sales Price - Total Lease Payments & Fees = "amt remaining to pay off car"
$56,000 - $36,000 = $20,000

Retail Sales Price of 3yo GX with 30k miles - "amt remaining to pay off car" = Dealer profit (lease vehicle)
$32,000 - $20,000 = $12,000

My logic should be clear however.
Just seems like the whole deal is shady!

Last edited by DDLexus; 04-16-09 at 07:40 AM. Reason: fixed the residual useage
Old 04-16-09, 06:41 AM
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kalvano
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The $20K is wrong. That number should be much higher unless you are driving a ridiculous amount of miles.

Also, you can quit referring to it as "dealer profit", it doesn't work that way. The vehicle belongs to Lexus, not the dealer.

And again, that $20K is way off. We just bid a 2004 GX, no Nav, no Levinson, with almost 65K miles for either $20K or $21K.

Even KBB pegs a 3 year old $56K GX with 45,000 miles as $26,500, which is about right.
Old 04-16-09, 07:06 AM
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DDLexus
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I guess you didn't see the statement about the car being 3 YEARS OLD selling for $32k. I'm not taking about a 5 year old 2004 GX. These are 3 year old 30-40k mile lease returns loaded with NAV and DVD (orig new price of $56k). If you find a 2006 with 30-40k miles for $26,500, that would be amazing!!! You can't even find 2005 for that price.
Old 04-16-09, 07:27 AM
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BTW, I went to Mercedes Financial site and estimated the same terms on a similarly priced E350 sedan ($55,000) and learned that the 3yr lease was $80/month less.
Lexus=$946
MB=$870

Which has the higher resale? The Lexus GX does... so, why are the lease payments higher? Greed?
Old 04-16-09, 07:33 AM
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DDLexus
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Default Lease examples...

See these 2 examples from Lexus and Mercedes Benz



Old 04-16-09, 07:34 AM
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Not sure about your assumptions, but the lease process and vehicle turn around usually works the same across the board - in a nut-shell it ends up being very profitable for a dealer much more so than a cash transaction. That said, the profit a dealer receives all depends on the lease terms and arrangement with the bank.

The dealer profits on leases in several ways, 1) on the capitalization cost (lease cost) of the vehicle, 2) on the interest rate spread or more simply put the dealer who originates the loan sells it to the bank often times at a lower interest rate whereby the dealer makes an additional profit based on the interest rate differance over the course of the loan, 3) if the dealer buys the car from the bank at the end of the lease they will re-sell it for a profit (which equates to the differance between the purchase price, carrying costs, dealer prep costs, commission etc) - same holds true for cars bought at auction, but often auction bought vehicles can yield an even greater profit for a dealer.

That said, dealers usually don't buy the car directly from the bank at the end of a customer's lease. More often than not banks send most lease return vehicles to auction which is where dealers obtain most of their used car inventory. This allows dealers greater flexibility in terms of inventory control. Often times these cars can be had at a discount to the lease end residual value which also explains why dealers often don't buy from the bank directly at lease trade-in.

All that aside, as you have deduced, the profit margin on a used vehicle can be significant.
Old 04-16-09, 07:38 AM
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I'm removing the term "residual value" as this term is definitely used incorrectly.. Sorry. that might be causing the confusion
Old 04-16-09, 07:43 AM
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Originally Posted by cssnms
Not sure about your assumptions, but the lease process and vehicle turn around usually works the same across the board - in a nut-shell it ends up being very profitable for a dealer much more so than a cash transaction. That said, the profit a dealer receives all depends on the lease terms and arrangement with the bank.

The dealer profits on leases in several ways, 1) on the capitalization cost (lease cost) of the vehicle, 2) on the interest rate spread or more simply put the dealer who originates the loan sells it to the bank often times at a lower interest rate whereby the dealer makes an additional profit based on the interest rate differance over the course of the loan, 3) if the dealer buys the car from the bank at the end of the lease they will re-sell it for a profit (which equates to the differance between the purchase price, carrying costs, dealer prep costs, commission etc) - same holds true for cars bought at auction, but often auction bought vehicles can yield an even greater profit for a dealer.

That said, dealers usually don't buy the car directly from the bank at the end of a customer's lease. More often than not banks send most lease return vehicles to auction which is where dealers obtain most of their used car inventory. This allows dealers greater flexibility in terms of inventory control. Often times these cars can be had at a discount to the lease end residual value which also explains why dealers often don't buy from the bank directly at lease trade-in.

All that aside, as you have deduced, the profit margin on a used vehicle can be significant.
Very well put. I liked your writeup! Thanks.
Old 04-16-09, 07:52 AM
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cssnms
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Originally Posted by DDLexus
BTW, I went to Mercedes Financial site and estimated the same terms on a similarly priced E350 sedan ($55,000) and learned that the 3yr lease was $80/month less.
Lexus=$946
MB=$870

Which has the higher resale? The Lexus GX does... so, why are the lease payments higher? Greed?
The lease rate is not just influenced by the resale value of a vehicle. And although it is factored into their model the bank determines what the "residual value" of the vehicle is. Often times this number is artifically inflated to offer a more attractive lease rate in order to move product or there are manufacturer to dealer incentives incorporated into the vehicle cap cost. Lexus has a notoriously low residual value which is why lexus leases are usually higher on a monthly basis. A great example is, BMW currently has some of the best lease rates around in the luxury car category, simply because they value their cars at such a high residual value coupled with BMW financial offers some of the best interest rates out there.

The other contributing factor which I eluded to above, is the interest rate on the loan/lease. One cannot see that from looking at a model on a dealer website.

One last tid-bit, never lease a vehicle based on the MSRP negotiate the price of the vehicle as if you were buying it.

Last edited by cssnms; 04-16-09 at 07:58 AM.


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