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Models suggest a huge Halloween storm is going to decimate the Northeast.

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Old 10-27-12, 05:28 PM
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SCary400
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Default Models suggest a huge Halloween storm is going to decimate the Northeast.

From:

http://epawablogs.com/the-great-hall...named-sandy-2/

From the What to Expect section at the end of the article:

This setup is truly a historical, once in a hundred year event, if it comes to fruition in the way that nearly all model guidance suggest. As a result, after a cloudy and rather rainy and breezy day on Sunday, conditions will deteriorate rather rapidly from southeast to northwest across the area starting sometime on Monday, and we can expect, in general across the entire area:
  • high winds sustained 40-60mph with higher gusts possible at the height inland, 60-80mph+ along the coastal areas… contributing to property, tree, and power line damage.
  • flooding rainfall on the order of 6-12″ in a 24-36 hour period, which will cause flash flooding, as well as possibly historic river flooding.
  • widespread power outages that can last for days if not weeks.
  • similar effects as Hurricane Irene last year for inland residents, if not worse, including all of eastern PA andNew Jersey.
  • massive beach erosion and damage, along with destruction to poorly constructed homes and businesses along shore points
  • coastal flooding and storm surge for a landfalling tropical system combined with a full moon, which enhances the wave action even further.

Because this storm will be so large, with such a massive windfield, the exact point at which the center crosses the coast won’t be as important if this was a purely tropical system especially away from the coast. However, coastal areas that lie to the north of the storms center will have a much greater coastal flooding threat, due to the wind direction coming off the ocean for a prolnged period of time, over two or three high tidal cycles and during a full moon:

The center may make landfall anywhere from the Delmarva Peninsula (Ocean City, MD area) to eastern Long Island (Islip), with somewhere along the New Jersey coastline being most likely at the moment.

Finally, for those of you who would’ve like to have seen snow with this event, you’ll have to head pretty far west. The mountains of West Virginia and southwest PA seem to be your best bet for a foot or perhaps much more of heavy wet snow.

So, that’s it for now. Sorry for the long read… we’ll have more as we get closer to the storm.

Doc

Prepare yourself, stay safe, and best of luck. From what I can tell this hasn't really hit the news in the affected areas just yet, so now may be a good time to stock up on essentials while they are still on the shelves.
Old 10-29-12, 03:45 PM
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tex2670
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Making Irene look like a sun shower. If you are seeing this, especially in NJ, be safe everybody.
Old 10-29-12, 03:52 PM
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SC400slide
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Stay safe people! Best of luck to you all.
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